Yankees rough up Carmona, Tribe

Baseball Betting Lines

07/28/2010 - Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mark Teixeira and Brett Gardner each had two hits and two runs batted in, as the New York Yankees roughed up Fausto Carmona in an 8-0 victory over the Cleveland Indians.

Robinson Cano doubled and slugged his 19th home run of the season for the Yankees, who have won two of three so far in this four-game series. Alex Rodriguez finished 2-for-5 with an RBI, but remained stuck on 599 career homers. It has been six games since he hit No. 599 versus Kansas City last Thursday.

The Yankees totaled 13 hits -- six for extra bases -- and all the offense made a winner of A.J. Burnett (9-8), who allowed seven hits, walked three and struck out seven in 6 1/3 shutout innings to win for the second consecutive start. He threw five scoreless innings Friday against the Royals.

Carmona (10-8) lasted just 2 2/3 innings in his shortest start of the season. He gave up seven runs on 10 hits and a walk, and threw 73 pitches.

Trevor Crowe had three hits for the Indians, who lost for the fifth time in their last seven games.

The Yankees got on the board in the first inning, when Teixeira hit a two-out double and Rodriguez followed with a base hit. But Carmona's troubles emerged in the next two innings, as the Yankees nearly batted around each time.

In the second, Curtis Granderson, Francisco Cervelli, and Gardner hit consecutive one-out singles to make it a 2-0 game. After Gardner stole second, Carmona fanned Derek Jeter, but walked Nick Swisher. Teixeira made Carmona pay by ripping a two-run single to right field.

Cano began the third with a double, and scored two batters later as Granderson tripled. Carmona rapidly fell apart, hitting Cervelli on the left elbow before Gardner doubled to right. Cervelli was thrown out at home on Jeter's ground ball to first, but Swisher lined a single to left to get Gardner across the plate for a 7-0 lead.

That hit ended Carmona's night. Hector Ambriz came in and walked Teixeira to load the bases, but struck out Rodriguez to end the inning.

Ambriz allowed one run -- a leadoff homer by Cano in the fourth -- over his 2 1/3 innings. The Indians' bullpen did not allow a run the rest of the way, but Cleveland was too far behind, and its offense didn't take advantage of opportunities. The Indians went 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position and left nine on base.

Game Notes

The game began after a 42-minute rain delay...The Yankees' Jorge Posada returned to the lineup after missing Tuesday's game with left knee soreness. He went 1-for-5...Carmona's ERA jumped from 3.51 to 3.92. He also fell to 1-4 with a 6.53 ERA in 10 career games (seven starts) against New York...The Indians have been shut out nine times this season

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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